特定カード 2ドロー確率表(2)
60枚デッキで何回ドローすれば特定のカードが2枚以上引けるのか?
・最初の手札は7回ドローしたとみなす(例えば4枚入れた「解呪」は最初の7枚の手札に8.23%の確率で2枚
以上入っていると考えられる)。
・オプショナル・マリガンした場合には、その分ドロー回数を引いた行を見る。
縦:ドローした回数        横:デッキに入れた枚数
            |
  30枚   |
  29枚   |
  28枚   |
  27枚   |
  26枚   |
  25枚   |
  24枚   |
  23枚   |
  22枚   |
  21枚   |
  20枚   |
  19枚   |
  18枚   |
  17枚   |
  16枚   |
2 |
24.58% |
22.94% |
21.36% |
19.83% |
18.36% |
16.95% |
15.59% |
14.29% |
13.05% |
11.86% |
10.73% |
9.66% |
8.64% |
7.68% |
6.78% |
3 |
50.00% |
47.46% |
44.92% |
42.40% |
39.89% |
37.41% |
34.95% |
32.53% |
30.15% |
27.82% |
25.54% |
23.32% |
21.16% |
19.08% |
17.07% |
4 |
69.40% |
66.82% |
64.15% |
61.40% |
58.58% |
55.71% |
52.78% |
49.81% |
46.80% |
43.78% |
40.74% |
37.70% |
34.67% |
31.67% |
28.71% |
5 |
82.34% |
80.18% |
77.88% |
75.42% |
72.83% |
70.09% |
67.21% |
64.21% |
61.08% |
57.83% |
54.48% |
51.05% |
47.53% |
43.96% |
40.35% |
6 |
90.27% |
88.69% |
86.93% |
84.99% |
82.86% |
80.55% |
78.04% |
75.33% |
72.43% |
69.33% |
66.05% |
62.58% |
58.94% |
55.14% |
51.19% |
7 |
94.86% |
93.79% |
92.56% |
91.15% |
89.55% |
87.75% |
85.73% |
83.49% |
81.01% |
78.28% |
75.30% |
72.06% |
68.57% |
64.82% |
60.83% |
8 |
97.38% |
96.71% |
95.91% |
94.95% |
93.82% |
92.51% |
90.99% |
89.24% |
87.24% |
84.97% |
82.42% |
79.57% |
76.41% |
72.92% |
69.11% |
9 |
98.72% |
98.32% |
97.82% |
97.20% |
96.45% |
95.54% |
94.45% |
93.15% |
91.62% |
89.83% |
87.75% |
85.35% |
82.61% |
79.51% |
76.02% |
10 |
99.39% |
99.17% |
98.87% |
98.50% |
98.02% |
97.42% |
96.67% |
95.74% |
94.62% |
93.25% |
91.62% |
89.68% |
87.40% |
84.74% |
81.66% |
11 |
99.72% |
99.60% |
99.44% |
99.21% |
98.92% |
98.54% |
98.04% |
97.41% |
96.61% |
95.62% |
94.38% |
92.86% |
91.02% |
88.81% |
86.18% |
12 |
99.88% |
99.81% |
99.73% |
99.60% |
99.43% |
99.19% |
98.88% |
98.46% |
97.91% |
97.21% |
96.30% |
95.15% |
93.70% |
91.92% |
89.72% |
13 |
99.95% |
99.92% |
99.87% |
99.80% |
99.71% |
99.57% |
99.37% |
99.11% |
98.74% |
98.25% |
97.60% |
96.75% |
95.65% |
94.25% |
92.46% |
14 |
99.98% |
99.96% |
99.94% |
99.91% |
99.85% |
99.77% |
99.66% |
99.49% |
99.26% |
98.93% |
98.48% |
97.87% |
97.05% |
95.96% |
94.55% |
15 |
99.99% |
99.98% |
99.97% |
99.96% |
99.93% |
99.88% |
99.82% |
99.72% |
99.57% |
99.36% |
99.05% |
98.62% |
98.03% |
97.21% |
96.11% |
16 |
100.00% |
99.99% |
99.99% |
99.98% |
99.97% |
99.94% |
99.91% |
99.85% |
99.76% |
99.62% |
99.42% |
99.13% |
98.70% |
98.10% |
97.26% |
17 |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
99.99% |
99.98% |
99.97% |
99.95% |
99.92% |
99.87% |
99.78% |
99.65% |
99.46% |
99.16% |
98.73% |
98.10% |
18 |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
99.99% |
99.99% |
99.98% |
99.96% |
99.93% |
99.88% |
99.80% |
99.67% |
99.47% |
99.16% |
98.70% |
19 |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
99.99% |
99.99% |
99.98% |
99.96% |
99.93% |
99.88% |
99.80% |
99.67% |
99.46% |
99.13% |
20 |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
99.99% |
99.99% |
99.98% |
99.96% |
99.93% |
99.88% |
99.80% |
99.65% |
99.42% |
21 |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
99.99% |
99.98% |
99.96% |
99.93% |
99.88% |
99.78% |
99.62% |
22 |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
99.99% |
99.98% |
99.96% |
99.93% |
99.87% |
99.76% |
23 |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
99.99% |
99.98% |
99.96% |
99.92% |
99.85% |
24 |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
99.99% |
99.99% |
99.98% |
99.95% |
99.91% |
25 |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
99.99% |
99.99% |
99.97% |
99.94% |
26 |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
99.99% |
99.98% |
99.97% |
27 |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
99.99% |
99.98% |
28 |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
99.99% |