特定カード 4ドロー確率表(1)
60枚デッキで何回ドローすれば特定のカードが4枚以上引けるのか?
・最初の手札は7回ドローしたとみなす(例えば4枚入れた「解呪」は最初の7枚の手札に0.01%の確率で4枚
入っていると考えられる)。
・オプショナル・マリガンした場合には、その分ドロー回数を引いた行を見る。
縦:ドローした回数        横:デッキに入れた枚数
            |
  15枚   |
  14枚   |
  13枚   |
  12枚   |
  11枚   |
  10枚   |
   9枚   |
   8枚   |
   7枚   |
   6枚   |
   5枚   |
   4枚   |
4 |
0.28% |
0.21% |
0.15% |
0.10% |
0.07% |
0.04% |
0.03% |
0.01% |
0.01% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
5 |
1.18% |
0.88% |
0.64% |
0.45% |
0.30% |
0.20% |
0.12% |
0.07% |
0.03% |
0.01% |
0.01% |
0.00% |
6 |
2.98% |
2.26% |
1.67% |
1.19% |
0.82% |
0.54% |
0.33% |
0.19% |
0.10% |
0.04% |
0.01% |
0.00% |
7 |
5.85% |
4.51% |
3.38% |
2.46% |
1.72% |
1.15% |
0.72% |
0.42% |
0.22% |
0.10% |
0.03% |
0.01% |
8 |
9.82% |
7.70% |
5.88% |
4.34% |
3.09% |
2.09% |
1.34% |
0.79% |
0.42% |
0.19% |
0.07% |
0.01% |
9 |
14.83% |
11.82% |
9.17% |
6.89% |
4.98% |
3.43% |
2.23% |
1.34% |
0.72% |
0.33% |
0.12% |
0.03% |
10 |
20.73% |
16.80% |
13.25% |
10.11% |
7.43% |
5.20% |
3.43% |
2.09% |
1.15% |
0.54% |
0.20% |
0.04% |
11 |
27.30% |
22.48% |
18.02% |
13.98% |
10.44% |
7.43% |
4.98% |
3.09% |
1.72% |
0.82% |
0.30% |
0.07% |
12 |
34.31% |
28.71% |
23.37% |
18.43% |
13.98% |
10.11% |
6.89% |
4.34% |
2.46% |
1.19% |
0.45% |
0.10% |
13 |
41.52% |
35.27% |
29.18% |
23.37% |
18.02% |
13.25% |
9.17% |
5.88% |
3.38% |
1.67% |
0.64% |
0.15% |
14 |
48.69% |
41.99% |
35.27% |
28.71% |
22.48% |
16.80% |
11.82% |
7.70% |
4.51% |
2.26% |
0.88% |
0.21% |
15 |
55.64% |
48.69% |
41.52% |
34.31% |
27.30% |
20.73% |
14.83% |
9.82% |
5.85% |
2.98% |
1.18% |
0.28% |
16 |
62.20% |
55.20% |
47.76% |
40.08% |
32.39% |
24.99% |
18.18% |
12.23% |
7.41% |
3.84% |
1.55% |
0.37% |
17 |
68.25% |
61.39% |
53.87% |
45.88% |
37.66% |
29.52% |
21.82% |
14.93% |
9.19% |
4.85% |
1.99% |
0.49% |
18 |
73.72% |
67.16% |
59.74% |
51.61% |
43.01% |
34.25% |
25.74% |
17.91% |
11.22% |
6.02% |
2.51% |
0.63% |
19 |
78.57% |
72.43% |
65.27% |
57.19% |
48.36% |
39.12% |
29.87% |
21.14% |
13.47% |
7.36% |
3.12% |
0.79% |
20 |
82.78% |
77.17% |
70.40% |
62.51% |
53.64% |
44.05% |
34.18% |
24.60% |
15.95% |
8.86% |
3.83% |
0.99% |
21 |
86.37% |
81.34% |
75.08% |
67.52% |
58.75% |
48.98% |
38.62% |
28.26% |
18.64% |
10.55% |
4.65% |
1.23% |
22 |
89.38% |
84.97% |
79.27% |
72.17% |
63.65% |
53.85% |
43.14% |
32.10% |
21.55% |
12.42% |
5.57% |
1.50% |
23 |
91.86% |
88.06% |
82.98% |
76.42% |
68.28% |
58.60% |
47.68% |
36.08% |
24.65% |
14.47% |
6.62% |
1.82% |
24 |
93.86% |
90.66% |
86.21% |
80.25% |
72.59% |
63.18% |
52.20% |
40.15% |
27.92% |
16.70% |
7.78% |
2.18% |
25 |
95.44% |
92.80% |
88.97% |
83.65% |
76.56% |
67.54% |
56.64% |
44.30% |
31.35% |
19.10% |
9.08% |
2.59% |
26 |
96.68% |
94.54% |
91.31% |
86.64% |
80.17% |
71.64% |
60.97% |
48.46% |
34.92% |
21.68% |
10.51% |
3.07% |
27 |
97.63% |
95.92% |
93.25% |
89.22% |
83.41% |
75.46% |
65.15% |
52.62% |
38.59% |
24.42% |
12.08% |
3.60% |
28 |
98.34% |
97.01% |
94.84% |
91.42% |
86.29% |
78.97% |
69.13% |
56.73% |
42.35% |
27.32% |
13.80% |
4.20% |
29 |
98.86% |
97.85% |
96.11% |
93.26% |
88.80% |
82.17% |
72.90% |
60.76% |
46.16% |
30.36% |
15.66% |
4.87% |
30 |
99.23% |
98.48% |
97.13% |
94.79% |
90.97% |
85.05% |
76.42% |
64.68% |
50.00% |
33.54% |
17.66% |
5.62% |