特定カード 5ドロー確率表(2)
60枚デッキで何回ドローすれば特定のカードが5枚以上引けるのか?
・最初の手札は7回ドローしたとみなす(例えば20枚入れた「森」は最初の7枚の手札に3.55%の確率で5枚
以上入っていると考えられる)。
・オプショナル・マリガンした場合には、その分ドロー回数を引いた行を見る。
縦:ドローした回数        横:デッキに入れた枚数
            |
  30枚   |
  29枚   |
  28枚   |
  27枚   |
  26枚   |
  25枚   |
  24枚   |
  23枚   |
  22枚   |
  21枚   |
  20枚   |
  19枚   |
  18枚   |
  17枚   |
  16枚   |
5 |
2.61% |
2.17% |
1.80% |
1.48% |
1.20% |
0.97% |
0.78% |
0.62% |
0.48% |
0.37% |
0.28% |
0.21% |
0.16% |
0.11% |
0.08% |
6 |
9.73% |
8.30% |
7.03% |
5.91% |
4.93% |
4.07% |
3.33% |
2.69% |
2.15% |
1.69% |
1.32% |
1.01% |
0.76% |
0.56% |
0.40% |
7 |
21.19% |
18.52% |
16.05% |
13.80% |
11.75% |
9.91% |
8.28% |
6.83% |
5.57% |
4.48% |
3.55% |
2.77% |
2.12% |
1.59% |
1.16% |
8 |
35.32% |
31.55% |
27.96% |
24.56% |
21.37% |
18.41% |
15.69% |
13.22% |
11.00% |
9.03% |
7.29% |
5.80% |
4.52% |
3.46% |
2.58% |
9 |
50.00% |
45.60% |
41.24% |
36.97% |
32.83% |
28.86% |
25.10% |
21.57% |
18.30% |
15.31% |
12.62% |
10.22% |
8.13% |
6.32% |
4.81% |
10 |
63.47% |
58.98% |
54.36% |
49.68% |
44.97% |
40.30% |
35.73% |
31.30% |
27.07% |
23.08% |
19.38% |
16.00% |
12.96% |
10.28% |
7.95% |
11 |
74.69% |
70.58% |
66.18% |
61.54% |
56.70% |
51.74% |
46.71% |
41.67% |
36.71% |
31.89% |
27.28% |
22.94% |
18.92% |
15.28% |
12.04% |
12 |
83.33% |
79.87% |
76.03% |
71.81% |
67.24% |
62.38% |
57.27% |
51.99% |
46.61% |
41.21% |
35.88% |
30.72% |
25.80% |
21.22% |
17.03% |
13 |
89.54% |
86.85% |
83.72% |
80.15% |
76.13% |
71.69% |
66.85% |
61.66% |
56.19% |
50.53% |
44.76% |
38.99% |
33.33% |
27.90% |
22.79% |
14 |
93.74% |
91.78% |
89.40% |
86.56% |
83.24% |
79.41% |
75.08% |
70.28% |
65.03% |
59.41% |
53.49% |
47.38% |
41.20% |
35.08% |
29.16% |
15 |
96.42% |
95.08% |
93.37% |
91.24% |
88.64% |
85.52% |
81.86% |
77.62% |
72.83% |
67.51% |
61.72% |
55.55% |
49.10% |
42.52% |
35.96% |
16 |
98.05% |
97.18% |
96.02% |
94.51% |
92.57% |
90.15% |
87.19% |
83.63% |
79.45% |
74.64% |
69.21% |
63.22% |
56.76% |
49.95% |
42.95% |
17 |
98.98% |
98.45% |
97.70% |
96.68% |
95.31% |
93.52% |
91.23% |
88.37% |
84.87% |
80.68% |
75.79% |
70.20% |
63.96% |
57.16% |
49.95% |
18 |
99.49% |
99.19% |
98.73% |
98.07% |
97.14% |
95.88% |
94.18% |
91.97% |
89.15% |
85.65% |
81.39% |
76.35% |
70.52% |
63.96% |
56.76% |
19 |
99.76% |
99.59% |
99.33% |
98.92% |
98.32% |
97.46% |
96.26% |
94.61% |
92.43% |
89.60% |
86.02% |
81.62% |
76.35% |
70.20% |
63.22% |
20 |
99.89% |
99.80% |
99.66% |
99.42% |
99.05% |
98.49% |
97.67% |
96.49% |
94.86% |
92.65% |
89.74% |
86.02% |
81.39% |
75.79% |
69.21% |
21 |
99.95% |
99.91% |
99.83% |
99.70% |
99.48% |
99.13% |
98.59% |
97.78% |
96.60% |
94.94% |
92.65% |
89.60% |
85.65% |
80.68% |
74.64% |
22 |
99.98% |
99.96% |
99.92% |
99.85% |
99.73% |
99.52% |
99.18% |
98.64% |
97.82% |
96.60% |
94.86% |
92.43% |
89.15% |
84.87% |
79.45% |
23 |
99.99% |
99.98% |
99.97% |
99.93% |
99.86% |
99.75% |
99.54% |
99.20% |
98.64% |
97.78% |
96.49% |
94.61% |
91.97% |
88.37% |
83.63% |
24 |
100.00% |
99.99% |
99.99% |
99.97% |
99.94% |
99.87% |
99.75% |
99.54% |
99.18% |
98.59% |
97.67% |
96.26% |
94.18% |
91.23% |
87.19% |
25 |
100.00% |
100.00% |
99.99% |
99.99% |
99.97% |
99.94% |
99.87% |
99.75% |
99.52% |
99.13% |
98.49% |
97.46% |
95.88% |
93.52% |
90.15% |
26 |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
99.99% |
99.99% |
99.97% |
99.94% |
99.86% |
99.73% |
99.48% |
99.05% |
98.32% |
97.14% |
95.31% |
92.57% |
27 |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
99.99% |
99.99% |
99.97% |
99.93% |
99.85% |
99.70% |
99.42% |
98.92% |
98.07% |
96.68% |
94.51% |
28 |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
99.99% |
99.99% |
99.97% |
99.92% |
99.83% |
99.66% |
99.33% |
98.73% |
97.70% |
96.02% |
29 |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
99.99% |
99.98% |
99.96% |
99.91% |
99.80% |
99.59% |
99.19% |
98.45% |
97.18% |
30 |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
99.99% |
99.98% |
99.95% |
99.89% |
99.76% |
99.49% |
98.98% |
98.05% |
31 |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
99.99% |
99.98% |
99.94% |
99.86% |
99.69% |
99.35% |
98.68% |